More QE on the Way
"But there seems to be a change in sentiment in the air now. Despite massive debt, political gridlock, numbing high unemployment and turmoil abroad, there are some faint signs of optimism. The manufacturing indices have ticked up a bit, productivity has improved and even wages have inched up a bit. Consumer confidence is improving, and corporate profits may bring good news as the earnings season unfolds."
Precis, det börjar sniffas lite QE här. Även om det med största sannolikhet inte kommer på onsdag vid FOMC-beskedet. Mer troligt är att vi får se något i maj/juni som Rickards säger. Jag tror precis som artikelförfattaren att målet kommer att vara MBS'er. Fed kommer att försöka injicera lite liv i husmarknaden.
"Most traders and some economists believe the Fed will step in with another round of Quantitative Easing (QE3) in the first half of 2012. This round would be huge, as much as $1 Trillion and targeted to support the ailing housing market. Under QE3, the Fed would purchase Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), the derivative instruments that bundle thousands of home mortgages into a single, collateralized package. Many MBS’s were considered “toxic” assets because they contained subprime mortgages that defaulted, making them very difficult to price in secondary markets. When enough MBS’s failed to fetch a bid, mark-to-market rules rendered them worthless, which destroyed many bank balance sheets and created the financial meltdown of 2008.
The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for this week, but there is little chance that the Chairman will announce the new round of bond-buying. But listen for Bernanke to list the continuing woes of the housing market, and its drain on the economy and growth. Housing will be the new demon. And Ben will excise it with a Trillion dollar dose of his favorite restorative quantitative elixir."